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Price Trends

Sacramento Grocery Prices: What Moved in March 2026

Every week, we collect prices from 24 grocery stores across Sacramento. March 2026 was a quiet month: comparing the same products from the start of the month to the end, nearly every department finished within a percentage point of where it began.

583K+
price records
143K+
products
24
stores

Overall price trends

March barely moved. Comparing the same products across the month, snacks fell the furthest at 1.1%, and no department moved more than that in either direction. Bakery, beverages, meat, pantry and produce each slipped under a point; frozen and alcohol edged up 0.4%. The average sale discount held at 18.3%. If you shopped the same list at the start and end of March, it cost about the same.

Category Price Index: Week-over-Week (first week = 100)

Average price by category showing week-over-week trends for Produce, Meat, Dairy, Pantry, Frozen, and Snacks

Category breakdown

A flat month reads as a short bar chart. Every category sits between −1.1% and +0.4%. These figures compare only products we priced in both the first and last week of the month, so a change in which items we collected cannot show up here as a price change — which is why they are far smaller than a raw average of each department would suggest.

Price Change by Category (Mar 1 – 7 – Mar 22 – 31)

Price change by category showing percentage changes from March 1 to March 31
Category Typical price Mar 1 – 7 Typical price Mar 22 – 31 Change (matched)
Frozen $6.24 $6.53 +0.4%
Alcohol $24.65 $18.08 +0.4%
Household $9.22 $8.83 +0.3%
Health & Beauty $7.74 $7.66 -0.1%
Dairy & Eggs $6.28 $6.30 -0.5%
Produce $7.12 $5.93 -0.6%
Pantry $9.24 $7.41 -0.6%
Meat & Seafood $8.74 $8.85 -0.7%
Beverages $6.93 $7.00 -0.7%
Bakery $7.57 $7.35 -0.8%
Snacks $8.24 $7.15 -1.1%

The two price columns are plain averages of everything we recorded in those weeks — useful for a sense of scale, but the mix of items behind them shifts, so they will not divide out to the change column. The change is measured only on products we priced in both weeks.

Produce spotlight

Produce slipped 0.6% across March — unusually calm for the department that normally swings most.

Produce price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Meat & Seafood spotlight

Meat eased 0.7%, with the month's sale calendar doing most of the work.

Meat & Seafood price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Dairy & Eggs spotlight

Dairy and eggs fell 0.5%, one of the steadier shelves in a steady month.

Dairy & Eggs price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Pantry spotlight

Pantry drifted down 0.6% across roughly 13,000 matched products — about as flat as a department this size gets.

Pantry price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Frozen spotlight

Frozen was one of only three categories to finish higher, up 0.4%.

Frozen price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Snacks spotlight

Snacks fell 1.1%, the largest move in the store this month and still barely a point.

Snacks price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Bakery spotlight

Bakery slipped 0.8%, tracking the rest of the center store.

Bakery price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Beverages spotlight

Beverages eased 0.7% ahead of the spring demand that lifted them later in the year.

Beverages price movers showing biggest increases and decreases

Products with the biggest price swings across multiple stores. Items available at fewer than 3 stores are excluded.

Biggest movers

These products saw the biggest real price changes across multiple stores, after filtering out one-off promotions and data quirks.

Produce

Price increases
Watermelon +267%
Asian Pear +233%
Seedless Watermelon +158%
Price drops
Sanzo Lychee Sparkling Water -79%
Russet Potatoes -79%
Green Giant Extra Sweet Niblets Whole Kernel Sweet Corn -78%

Meat & Seafood

Price increases
Chicken Drumsticks (Piernitas de Pollo) +285%
Beggin' Original with Bacon Dog Treats +234%
Temptations Classic Crunchy and Soft Cat Treats Tasty Chicken Flavor +183%
Price drops
Temptations Classic Crunchy and Soft Cat Treats Savory Salmon Flavor -71%
Rice-A-Roni Chicken Rice Mix -68%
Tilapia Fillets -56%

Dairy & Eggs

Price increases
International Delight French Vanilla Coffee Creamer +261%
Frigo Cheese Heads Original Mozzarella String Cheese +213%
Hot Pockets Philly Steak and Cheese Crispy Crust Frozen +173%
Price drops
Oikos Pro 20g Protein Mixed Berry Yogurt-Cultured Ultra-Filtered -70%
Oikos Triple Zero Strawberry Greek Yogurt -70%
Joseph Farms Monterey Jack Cheese -64%

Pantry

Price increases
McCormick Hamburger Seasoning +393%
Wild Mountain Honey +207%
Maruchan Beef Flavor Ramen Noodle Soup +178%
Price drops
Dynasty Jasmine Rice -73%
Campbell's SpaghettiOs Original Canned Pasta -72%
McCormick Chili Seasoning Mix -72%

Frozen

Price increases
Totino's Pizza Rolls Pepperoni Flavored Frozen Snacks +399%
Breakfast Burrito +201%
Hot Pockets Pepperoni Pizza Crispy Crust Frozen Sandwiches +173%
Price drops
Totino's Pizza Rolls Triple Meat Flavored Frozen Snacks -60%
Totino's Pizza Rolls -58%
Totino's Pizza Rolls Combination Flavored Frozen Snacks -50%

Bakery

Price increases
Fruit Roll-Ups Fruit by the Foot Gushers Fruit Flavored Snacks +152%
Bimbo Donas Sugared Donuts +43%
Duncan Hines Dolly Parton's Vanilla Flavored Cake Mix +42%
Price drops
King's Hawaiian Original Hawaiian Sweet Rolls -40%
Pillsbury Grands! Southern Homestyle Buttermilk Biscuits -40%
Nature's Own Perfectly Crafted Brioche Style Hamburger Buns -37%

Sale trends

Weekly sales are a big part of the grocery price picture. The average sale discount was 18.3% off regular price. Here's how sale volume shifted week to week.

Mar 1 – 7
17.3%
on sale
27,868 of 160,685
Mar 8 – 14
17.6%
on sale
18,555 of 105,177
Mar 15 – 21
19%
on sale
23,486 of 123,293
Mar 22 – 31
24.2%
on sale
46,956 of 193,666
Store Products % on Sale Avg Price
Raley's / Bel Air / Nob Hill 1,166 79.3% $9.77
Safeway 13,420 50.8% $7.77
Sprouts 6,789 36.3% $7.82
FoodMaxx 13,405 25.4% $6.79
Smart & Final 8,749 19.3% $7.48
Whole Foods 3,504 15.6% $9.56
Sacramento Natural Foods Co-op 9,283 13.5% $8.52
Target 13,235 9.8% $11.74
Rancho San Miguel 8,415 0.7% $5.20
Trader Joe's 2,909 0.0% $5.07
99 Ranch Market 2,286 0.0% $5.94
Foods Co. 16,443 0.0% $6.46

How we collected this data

SacGroceries tracks prices through a combination of automated collection from store websites and community contributions. Prices are collected weekly for most stores, with some high-volume stores updated more frequently.

  • Period covered: 2026-03-01 – 2026-03-31 (March 2026)
  • Stores tracked: 24 Sacramento-area grocery stores
  • Data points: 582,821 price records across 143,377 products
  • Filtering: Prices below $0.10 or above $100 are excluded as likely data errors. Items must appear at 2+ stores for cross-store comparisons. Price swings over 500% between weeks are excluded. Stores where we only collect sale flyer data (over 80% of prices are sale prices) are excluded from the sale trends table since their data would be misleading.
  • Averages: All averages use the effective price (sale price when available, regular price otherwise).

These numbers are a snapshot. Actual prices vary by location and date. With 143K+ products, some data errors slip through despite our filtering.

Want to find the best prices right now?

Compare prices across all 24 Sacramento stores, or build a shopping list that finds the cheapest option for every item.